Paksi SE 6-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.88/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.51
+26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
30.6 Crosses 21.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
243 Passes 329
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
31.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.08.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
6-1
AWAY Ujpest
3.15 xG 2.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 5
329 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 27
46 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE cruised past Ujpest 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Paksi SE found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paksi SE had 55% of the ball to Ujpest's 45%, shots finished 27-16, expected goals 3.15 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paksi SE and 0.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Paksi SE 6-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 39%, draw 26%, Ujpest 35%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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