Dukla Prag 2-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 35% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
0.96/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.40
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 71%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.7 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Jablonec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEKK
19.10.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.12.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
10.08.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.04.2019 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
03.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-6 HT 0-3 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
2-0
AWAY Jablonec
1.35 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 13
188 Passes 354
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag saw off Jablonec 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jablonec at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 38% of the ball to Jablonec's 62%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.35 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dukla Prag and 2.33 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Jablonec?

Dukla Prag 2-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 25%, draw 27%, Jablonec 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jablonec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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