Mlada Boleslav 2-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.24
+25% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
15.0 Crosses 22.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
17.05.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.02.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.09.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.48 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
357 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 28
3 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav beat FK Pardubice 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mlada Boleslav found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 53% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.17 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice?

Mlada Boleslav 2-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 38%, draw 27%, FK Pardubice 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
14 Mar 2026
17:00 Dukla Prag vs Jablonec Analysis →
17:00 Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
20:00 FC Fastav Zlin vs Slavia Prag Analysis →