Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Atlanta United 3-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Atlanta United saw off Philadelphia Union 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Atlanta United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Atlanta United had 42% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 58%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.02 to 2.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlanta United and 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union?
Atlanta United 3-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 39%, draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.