Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atlanta United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atlanta United 3-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Atlanta United had too much for Philadelphia Union 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 28% / 34%); Atlanta United picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Philadelphia Union saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.02 to 2.24.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atlanta United against 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
Atlanta United 3 - 1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 38%, draw 28%, Philadelphia Union 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.