Hamburg 1-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2026

Hamburg
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Köln
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburg vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.92
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.47
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.21
6+
6%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.24
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
17%
4.71
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
16%
4.27
2/X
6%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Hamburg v Köln — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hamburg The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Köln The Market 36%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.24 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2

Hamburg vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 2.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
370 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2025 Köln Köln 4-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
18.01.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
02.08.2024 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.01.2023 Köln Köln 4-0 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg HAZ
18.01.2022 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
15.04.2019 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Hamburg 1-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
1 - 1
AWAY Köln
0.32 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
302 Passes 375
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Hamburg vs Köln
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hamburg and Köln finished all square at 1-1.

We leaned Hamburg at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Köln saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.32 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hamburg against 1.83 for Köln.

Hamburg vs Köln Result & Final Score

Hamburg 1 - 1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hamburg vs Köln Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 41%, draw 29%, Köln 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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