Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Bayern Münih
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.29
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
62%
1.57
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.94
Over Pick
74%
1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.41
No
35%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
11%
7.1
2-3
37%
2.2
4-5
35%
2.36
6+
17%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.11
1/2
3%
17.1
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
8%
10.95
X/2
19%
4.57
X/X
9%
7.64
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
40%
1.89
2/X
5%
13.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayer Leverkusen The Market 23%
Signal
AWAY Bayern Münih The Market 64%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.63
1.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Great Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 85%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 459
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
05.03.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen ŞMP
15.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
03.12.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK
28.09.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
AWAY Bayern Münih
3.23 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
428 Passes 566
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
35 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Münih couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern Münih carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals card split: both teams to score (65%) came in, over 2.5 goals (74%) didn't.

Under the surface, Bayer Leverkusen had 45% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 55%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.23 to 1.69.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.50 for Bayern Münih.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score

Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 19%, draw 19%, Bayern Münih 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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