Bayern Münih 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.24
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.47
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.0
X/1
18%
4.01
X/2
6%
18.75
X/X
10%
9.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.2
2/2
3%
14.55
2/X
3%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.3pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.75/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.62
+45% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
509 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
40.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.1 Crosses 7.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
455 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
05.03.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen ŞMP
15.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
03.12.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK
28.09.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
10.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
2.35 xG 0.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
607 Passes 407
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Bayer Leverkusen 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 59% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.35 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayern Münih and 0.83 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayern Münih 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 70%, draw 17%, Bayer Leverkusen 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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