St. Pauli 0-4 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2025

St. Pauli
0-4 HT 0-2
Mönchengladbach
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.35
X/2
14%
6.54
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.19/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.92
-43% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.8 Crosses 15.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
433 Passes 456
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
24.11.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
10.08.2015 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-4 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AFK
12.02.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.09.2010 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
16.03.2008 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

St. Pauli 0-4 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-4
AWAY Mönchengladbach
0.88 xG 2.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 1
517 Passes 411
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach swept aside St. Pauli 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Mönchengladbach made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Pauli had 56% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 44%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.88 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli and 1.67 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach?

St. Pauli 0-4 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 37%, draw 27%, Mönchengladbach 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Pauli), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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