RB Leipzig 3-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.77
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
8%
11.8
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
13%
7.48
X/X
10%
5.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.95
2/2
15%
4.52
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +31%
2.09/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.40
+35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.0 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stuttgart
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.22 xG 1.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
430 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-3 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
02.04.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AFK
15.01.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
27.01.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 5-2 HT 2-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
25.08.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
27.01.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
3-1
AWAY Stuttgart
2.09 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 485
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig saw off Stuttgart 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 42% of the ball to Stuttgart's 58%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for RB Leipzig and 2.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart?

RB Leipzig 3-1 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 44%, draw 23%, Stuttgart 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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