Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rot-Weiss Essen v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rot-Weiss Essen 4-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen saw off Erzgebirge Aue 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Rot-Weiss Essen had 48% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 52%, shots finished 12-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.83 for Erzgebirge Aue.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue Result & Final Score
Rot-Weiss Essen 4 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 59%, draw 21%, Erzgebirge Aue 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.