Rochedale Rovers 1-0 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
46%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.6pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.2pp
46%
Away Win
32%
+13.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 36%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.31/4.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.87
+29% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.5
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochedale Rovers
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-1 HT 1-1 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
21.04.2024 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 1-5 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
15.07.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 0-4 HT 0-3 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochedale Rovers nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rochedale Rovers and 3.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Rochedale Rovers 1-0 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rochedale Rovers 37%, draw 17%, Brisbane Roar II 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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