Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.25/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.00
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 1-5 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
15.07.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 0-4 HT 0-3 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II and Rochedale Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 0.67 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochedale Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 37%, draw 26%, Rochedale Rovers 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rochedale Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochedale Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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