Rochedale Rovers 1-5 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.03/1.49
-100% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochedale Rovers
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 0-4 HT 0-3 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II cruised past Rochedale Rovers 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rochedale Rovers and 3.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Rochedale Rovers 1-5 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rochedale Rovers 37%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar II 40%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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