Adelaide City 2-2 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +28%
2.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/2.36
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Adelaide United II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
18.05.2025 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
21.07.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
26.04.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
27.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City and Adelaide United II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide City and 2.17 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II?

Adelaide City 2-2 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 52%, draw 19%, Adelaide United II 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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