Nomme United 7-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over
54%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.77
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Nomme United The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus The Market 46%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.03 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.60
1.98 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
13.07.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
31.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
26.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
7-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nomme United made light work of Parnu JK Vaprus 7-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nomme United found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Nomme United had 58% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 42%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nomme United and 1.75 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus Result & Final Score

Nomme United 7-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 38%, draw 23%, Parnu JK Vaprus 39%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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