Nomme United 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 60%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
31.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
26.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-2
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus saw off Nomme United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nomme United had 50% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nomme United and 1.67 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Nomme United 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 31%, draw 23%, Parnu JK Vaprus 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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