FC Kuressaare 2-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.5pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.37
-8% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
03.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
29.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
08.07.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare squeezed past Tallinna Kalev 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Kuressaare as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 51% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 49%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.00 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Kuressaare 2-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 42%, draw 24%, Tallinna Kalev 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Kuressaare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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