Oulu 2-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
4.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.66
6+ Goals
9%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
6%
22.65
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.46
X/2
14%
5.54
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.11
2/X
9%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.79/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.50
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-0D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 444
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
20.07.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
14.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
31.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
FAQ Oulu vs HJK Helsinki
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Oulu edged past HJK Helsinki 2-1 in the Finland - League Cup on 14 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oulu and 2.33 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Oulu vs HJK Helsinki?

Oulu 2-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oulu 36%, draw 29%, HJK Helsinki 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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