Inter Turku 3-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.61
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
15%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
16%
5.51
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-13% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
19.10.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
23.08.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
17.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
08.03.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
12.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku nicked a narrow win over Ilves Tampere 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter Turku had 54% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 46%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Turku and 0.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Inter Turku 3-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 42%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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