Ilves Tampere 1-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
19%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.05
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.36
X/2
9%
6.74
X/X
7%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
13%
4.36
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.40
+6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
15.0 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
17.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
08.03.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
12.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
22.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.03.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-2
AWAY Inter Turku
0.93 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
368 Passes 441
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku edged past Ilves Tampere 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 46% of the ball to Inter Turku's 54%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.93 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Ilves Tampere 1-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 47%, draw 24%, Inter Turku 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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