Colwyn Bay 3-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.78/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.61
+20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Barry Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2026 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
01.11.2025 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-4 HT 1-2 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
16.08.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
21.04.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
09.03.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
16.12.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GALWK
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay saw off Barry Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colwyn Bay and 1.00 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?

Colwyn Bay 3-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 33%, draw 24%, Barry Town 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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