Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
13%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.01
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
12%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
10%
6.75
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.94
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.45/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.9 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 401
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-3 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
31.08.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
18.06.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
419 Passes 323
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Gimcheon Sangmu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 56% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 44%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.83 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
14 Mar 2026
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