Mito HollyHock 1-1 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
11.11.2015 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.88 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and FC Tokyo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Tokyo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 49% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.88 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs FC Tokyo?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 32%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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