Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kashiwa Reysol v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP2
Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 69% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 31%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.20 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 43%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS Yes went the other way.