Machida Zelvia 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.29/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.19
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.9 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 0.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
204 Passes 304
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
03.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
16.11.2019 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
3-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.54 xG 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
226 Passes 473
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia swept aside Kashiwa Reysol 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Machida Zelvia made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 35% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 65%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.54 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.33 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 38%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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