Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.51/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.7 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.31 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
213 Passes 392
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-4 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 2-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
17.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-5 HT 1-3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
01.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
25.11.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-2
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.90 xG 3.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
317 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka edged past Kyoto Sanga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Cerezo Osaka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 54% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 46%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.90 to 3.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.00 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 37%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
14 Mar 2026
07:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs FC Tokyo Analysis →
08:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
08:00 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →