Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.49
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.2 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 431
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
01.11.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 HT 0-3 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
17.03.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
25.02.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.98 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers edged past Kawasaki Frontale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 52% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 48%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.98 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.67 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 51%, draw 22%, Kawasaki Frontale 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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