Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 33% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.03
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
20%
4.68
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.2pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.25
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.8 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
405 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
01.11.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 HT 0-3 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
17.03.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
25.02.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
27.08.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.69 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
418 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale squeezed past Kashima Antlers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Kawasaki Frontale made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 61% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.50 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 39%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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