Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-2
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
2-1
HT 1-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP2
Machida Zelvia 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia cruised past Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 36% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 64%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.20 to 1.42.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 2.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Machida Zelvia 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 45%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.