Yokohama FC 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.27
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.23
X/2
13%
6.54
X/X
15%
4.52
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
0.94/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
-33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.2 Crosses 18.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.23 xG 2.41
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
259 Passes 547
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
26.08.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 5-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
25.09.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.04.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 5-0 HT 2-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
19.12.2020 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
0-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.33 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
223 Passes 237
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Yokohama FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Yokohama F. Marinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 51% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.33 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yokohama FC and 2.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Yokohama FC 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 38%, draw 29%, Yokohama F. Marinos 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yokohama FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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