Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Fagiano Okayama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 35% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.40 to 1.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sanfrecce Hiroshima's control.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 31%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.