Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.98
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.58
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
6%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.41
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.53
X/2
8%
8.28
X/X
15%
5.14
2/1
3%
22.25
2/2
12%
6.12
2/X
5%
14.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice The Market 27%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
384 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
06.04.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 - 2
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.48 xG 1.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
448 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 29
31 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Piast Gliwice nicked a narrow win over Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 53% lean on Jagiellonia Bialystok didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 64% to 36% in Jagiellonia Bialystok's favour, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.48 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Jagiellonia Bialystok against 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice Result & Final Score

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 2 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 53%, draw 25%, Piast Gliwice 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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