Guastatoya 2-2 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.99
+12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.02.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
17.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
17.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guastatoya
2-2
AWAY Xelaju MC
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 36% / 23%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guastatoya had 48% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 1.33 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Guastatoya 2-2 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 41%, draw 36%, Xelaju MC 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
14 Apr 2025
04:00 Xinabajul vs Malacateco Analysis →