Xinabajul 1-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
01.12.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
28.11.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
14.10.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
04.03.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.02.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul and Malacateco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Xinabajul and 0.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Malacateco?

Xinabajul 1-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 28%, Malacateco 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xinabajul), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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