Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Hibernians FC — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Hibernians FC — Actual Match Statistics
Hibernians FC nicked a narrow win over Hamrun Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 54% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 46%, shots finished 12-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.83 for Hibernians FC.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - FA Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 46%, draw 30%, Hibernians FC 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.