Sparta Selemet 3-3 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
52%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
11%
+16.6pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
72%
-20.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Milsami
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
30.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLDK
06.04.2025 Sparta Selemet 1-6 HT 1-3 Milsami Milsami MOLD
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
3-3
AWAY Milsami
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Selemet and Milsami shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Milsami at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 38% of the ball to Milsami's 62%, shots finished 11-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sparta Selemet and 3.50 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Sparta Selemet 3-3 Milsami in the Moldova - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 28%, draw 20%, Milsami 52%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milsami), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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