FC Sheriff 1-0 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Zimbru
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
26.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
01.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-0
AWAY Zimbru
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff edged past Zimbru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 51% of the ball to Zimbru's 49%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sheriff and 1.00 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 1-0 Zimbru in the Moldova - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 49%, draw 27%, Zimbru 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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