Koper 0-4 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 14 May 2025

Koper
0-4 HT 0-3
Celje
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
37%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.3pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.2pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-11.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 53%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.32/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+75% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
30.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.11.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
01.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
12.05.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
14.03.2024 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
0-4
AWAY Celje
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Koper vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje cruised past Koper 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Celje found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Koper had 43% of the ball to Celje's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Koper and 1.50 for Celje.

What was the final score of Koper vs Celje?

Koper 0-4 Celje in the Slovenia - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Koper 26%, draw 36%, Celje 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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