Vasalund IF 1-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
2.14/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.68
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gefle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 4-1 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
18.04.2025 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
06.11.2022 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
18.06.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
31.10.2020 Gefle Gefle 1-3 HT 0-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
1-0
AWAY Gefle
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF nicked a narrow win over Gefle 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasalund IF as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 53% of the ball to Gefle's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vasalund IF and 1.00 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Gefle?

Vasalund IF 1-0 Gefle in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 59%, draw 19%, Gefle 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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