IF Karlstad 1-0 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
2.13/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/2.76
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stocksund
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Stocksund Stocksund 1-4 HT 1-3 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
11.05.2025 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-1 HT 2-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
28.09.2024 Stocksund Stocksund 4-1 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
18.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
12.11.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-3 HT 0-2 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-0
AWAY Stocksund
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad nicked a narrow win over Stocksund 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 63% of the ball to Stocksund's 37%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.17 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Stocksund?

IF Karlstad 1-0 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 59%, draw 19%, Stocksund 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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