Pitea IF 1-5 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.9pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.82/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/2.00
-42% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-3 HT 0-0 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ3
23.06.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 2-3 HT 0-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
1-5
AWAY FBK Karlstad
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad cruised past Pitea IF 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pitea IF had 39% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 61%, shots finished 2-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pitea IF and 2.50 for FBK Karlstad.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Pitea IF 1-5 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 32%, draw 24%, FBK Karlstad 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
14 May 2026
14:00 Tvaaker vs BK Olympic Analysis →
14:00 Vasalund IF vs Gefle Analysis →
16:00 Assyriska vs Umea FC Analysis →
17:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Jönköpings Södra Analysis →
17:00 Angelholm vs Atvidaberg Analysis →
17:00 IF Karlstad vs Stocksund Analysis →