Assyriska 1-5 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +30%
1.47/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.29
+0% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Umea FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
30.06.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 1-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
14.11.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
23.05.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
03.11.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 1-3 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
24.06.2012 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-5
AWAY Umea FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC ran out comfortable winners over Assyriska 5-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Assyriska had 43% of the ball to Umea FC's 57%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umea FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Assyriska and 1.67 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Umea FC?

Assyriska 1-5 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 36%, draw 22%, Umea FC 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
14 May 2026
14:00 Tvaaker vs BK Olympic Analysis →
14:00 Vasalund IF vs Gefle Analysis →
14:00 Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad Analysis →
17:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Jönköpings Södra Analysis →
17:00 Angelholm vs Atvidaberg Analysis →
17:00 IF Karlstad vs Stocksund Analysis →