Ben Guerdane 0-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
9.57
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
76%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
44%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
8%
+4.8pp
12%
Draw
16%
-3.7pp
75%
Away Win
77%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 81%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
0.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.42
-72% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +12%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
25.05.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-3 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TNUSK
22.11.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
01.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
02.03.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
22.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 4-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
0-1
AWAY ES Tunis
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis squeezed past Ben Guerdane 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 48% of the ball to ES Tunis's 52%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ben Guerdane and 2.67 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Ben Guerdane 0-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 12%, draw 12%, ES Tunis 75%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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