CS Sfaxien 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.43
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
66%
+4.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.2pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.80/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.77
+35% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.11.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
15.05.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
26.01.2025 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
15.06.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
13.04.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
27.05.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
3-1
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Sfaxien as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 62% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 38%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CS Sfaxien and 0.50 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

CS Sfaxien 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 70%, draw 20%, Etoile Du Sahel 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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