One Knoxville 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME One Knoxville The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
269 Passes 276
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 2-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
17.08.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.09.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
06.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
19.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1 - 2
AWAY Union Omaha
1.58 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
415 Passes 255
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW One Knoxville vs Union Omaha
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Union Omaha came out on the right side of a one-goal game with One Knoxville 2-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Union Omaha made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in One Knoxville's favour, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.58 to 1.15 — on chances, One Knoxville could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for One Knoxville against 1.50 for Union Omaha.

One Knoxville vs Union Omaha Result & Final Score

One Knoxville 1 - 2 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

One Knoxville vs Union Omaha Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 36%, draw 32%, Union Omaha 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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