Union Omaha 2-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.88
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +100%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.2 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.83 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
281 Passes 311
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.09.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
06.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
19.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY One Knoxville
1.10 xG 1.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
338 Passes 186
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and One Knoxville shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Omaha had 62% of the ball to One Knoxville's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Omaha and 0.67 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

Union Omaha 2-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 52%, draw 23%, One Knoxville 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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