Spokane Velocity 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.95/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
-11% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.9 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.16 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
350 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 HT 2-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
08.08.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
07.07.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
1-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.41 xG 1.17
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
503 Passes 135
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Spokane Velocity 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spokane Velocity at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 73% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 27%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spokane Velocity had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spokane Velocity and 1.33 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Spokane Velocity 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 48%, draw 28%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
22 Sep 2025
00:00 Union Omaha vs One Knoxville Analysis →
00:00 Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples Analysis →
02:00 Westchester SC vs Texoma Analysis →