Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.51/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
18.8 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
251 Passes 228
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2026 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
05.10.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
28.04.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
23.07.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
02.05.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.75 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
249 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello squeezed past Portuguesa FC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 43% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 57%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.75 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.83 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 49%, draw 29%, Portuguesa FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5
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