Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.98
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
16.4 Crosses 14.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
02.05.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.02.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
13.11.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
22.10.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.71 xG 0.65
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 1
369 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello nicked a narrow win over Portuguesa FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Academia Puerto Cabello made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 63% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 37%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.71 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.50 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 39%, draw 32%, Portuguesa FC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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