Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carabobo v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Carabobo 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes De Merida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Carabobo had 44% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 56%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.33 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carabobo and 0.67 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Carabobo 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 60%, draw 25%, Estudiantes De Merida 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.